You see, this here thing, negative ECR vs ADP, it’s a real head-scratcher. I heard some folks talkin’ ’bout it down at the market, and I thought, “What in tarnation are they goin’ on about?” It’s all about them fantasy football leagues, you know? Like pickin’ chickens for a county fair, but it’s football players instead.

Now, ECR, that’s what them fancy expert fellers say. They watch the games, they look at the numbers, and they decide who’s the best rooster in the henhouse. They rank ’em, like sayin’ this one’s the top dog, this one’s second best, and so on. It’s like gradin’ eggs, but for football players. They think they know everything, these experts. But sometimes, they are just like a weathervane in a hurricane, ain’t they?
Then there’s this ADP thing. That’s where regular folks like you and me, well, not me exactly, but regular folks who play this fantasy football, where they actually pick these players for their own pretend teams. It’s like a potluck supper, everyone bringin’ their favorite dish. ADP is like seein’ what dishes are most popular. It means “Average Draft Position”, I hear. Sounds like a whole lotta mumbo jumbo to me, but that’s what they call it.
So, where does this “negative” thing come in, you ask? Well, sometimes these experts, they say a player’s gonna be real good, a blue-ribbon winner, right? They give him a high ECR. But then, when regular folks are pickin’ for their teams, they don’t pick him so high. They pick him later. His ADP is lower than his ECR. That is what is going on here.
That difference there, that’s where the negative comes in. It means the experts think this fella is better than he is, accordin’ to where he’s gettin’ picked. It’s like sayin’ a pie is gonna win first prize at the fair, but everyone’s eatin’ the cake instead. They think they are smart, but the real people know better. You know what I mean?
- ECR is like the expert’s guess.
- ADP is like where folks really pick ’em.
- Negative means the experts are guessin’ too high.
This whole thing, it’s important for them fantasy football folks. It’s important for them because they wanna find them players that are better than where they’re gettin’ picked. That’s the trick, you see. They want the good players without paying too much. Like findin’ a good deal on a used tractor.
Why is this so important in 2024? Well, I heard them say that these ECR vs ADP, they can change every day. I mean, who can keep up with all of that? One day a player is good, the next day he’s not. It’s like the weather, always changin’. It is all about the players, how they are doing in those football games. I saw it on the TV the other day, all those big fellas runnin’ around. They say if a player is doing good, his ADP will be higher. So, you have to be ready to change your picks, they say.

Some folks, they spend hours lookin’ at these numbers. They got charts and graphs and all sorts of things. I saw one young fella with his computer, goin’ on and on about ECR vs ADP Fantasy Football. I swear, he was talkin’ a different language! They even got websites for this, I hear. They are all tryin’ to figure out who’s gonna be good this year. You see, these young people, they are always trying to win, even in a game that is not real.
They say this year, 2024, is a big year for fantasy football. I don’t know why, but they keep saying that. The season is gonna start soon, I think. I hear them talking about it all the time. They are saying that you have to “navigate” these ECR vs ADP numbers. Whatever that means. They are saying that this is the “name of the game.” I don’t know about all that, but it sounds mighty important to them. They just want to be “cool as a cucumber”, I heard one of them say the other day. What does that even mean?
It’s all a bit much for me, if you ask me. I’d rather be tendin’ to my garden than worryin’ about all these numbers. But hey, if it makes ’em happy, more power to ’em. Just don’t ask me to explain it again, ’cause I’m still not sure I understand it myself! All I know is that negative ECR vs ADP means the experts are probably wrong, and the regular folks know somethin’ they don’t. And that’s all there is to it, far as I’m concerned.
These young folks, with their 2022 Rookie ADP, and their fancy words. It is all too much for me. But they sure do love it. They are always talkin’ about players being “overrated” or “underrated”. I don’t know what all that means. But if a player has a negative number, that means he’s overrated, they say. Like them fancy roosters that don’t lay any eggs. And if a player has a positive number, that means he’s underrated. Like a good old hen that lays every day, but nobody notices her. It’s all very confusin’.
They got all these fancy words for it, but it’s just like pickin’ the best apples from the basket. You gotta know what you’re lookin’ for, and you gotta be smarter than the next fella. I just hope they don’t take it all too seriously. It’s just a game, after all. But they sure do love it, that is for sure!